Showing posts with label Fed. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fed. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Two Wrongs Still Make No Rights

Last month the Fed lowered the interest rates that banks and businesses pay by ¼% or 25 basis points. This was supposed to ease the pain being caused by the "Sub-Prime" mortgage meltdown caused by earlier Fed moves. Unfortunately the "market" and the world financial people were hoping for 50 basis points. As a result the stock market dropped and those of us invested in it lost a great deal of value in our retirement funds and portfolios.
This week the Fed realized the urgent need for further action and lowered the prime rate by ¾% or 75 basis points when most people were expecting ½%. This made the total of the two moves a full percentage point (the same as if they did it ½ each time.)
But the world markets plummeted once again.
Why?
Simply because this second move sent a signal that the Fed was afraid of the "R" word.
And all you have to tell an economist is that you think we are heading for a recession and, well you know.
Had the Fed made two moves of ½ point the end result on the rates would have been the same but the panic may not have been realized. Now there is almost a certainty that the geniuses will lower the rate one more time at their next meeting later this month.
The two earlier wrongs make the third move a necessity! One can only hope the third time is a charm.